Mike Neil GM Microsoft Virtualization in 2009 Predictions
- Impact of the economy on IT budgets: “The global financial crisis and accompanying recession have placed businesses and their IT departments under unprecedented pressure to contain costs. Virtualization is well known as a quick – perhaps the quickest — way to reduce IT costs and become more efficient, both in the datacenter and on desktops. This bottom-line windfall is the result of server consolidation, reduced power consumption, streamlined testing and deployment of new applications, and other economies.”
- Ease of managing virtual machines: “The virtualization market is becoming fiercely competitive, and management software is emerging as the key area in which vendors differentiate themselves. That’s because the industry has come to realize that a rich set of management capabilities is critical to unlocking the full value of virtualization. Most enterprises today have heterogeneous IT environments, with software and hardware from dozens of vendors. That’s why holistic management is so important — being able to configure, provision, deploy and back up all IT assets from a single console, regardless of whether they are physical or virtual, and regardless of brand. This level of consolidated management will be key to the widespread adoption of virtualization technology in datacenters and on desktops.”
- Energy consumption and green computing: “Consolidating applications through virtualization reduces not only the number of servers needed, but also the amount of power required to run and cool them. In addition, workload- and power-management tools are now becoming available that can move workloads to a smaller number of servers and power down the unused machines.”
- Cloud computing: “… cloud computing is just the logical extension of the trend that began with virtualization’s decoupling of applications from the physical machines they were running on. Once you accept the concept of virtual machines, moving those machines off-premises isn’t a huge leap. What the cloud will deliver will essentially be virtualized services. For example, I’d expect back-up and recovery to be a prominent service offering in 2009, and it’s enabled by more workloads being encapsulated within virtual machines”
- Virtualization extends beyond servers: “… virtualization is no longer just about servers; virtualization at the desktop has become a hot topic, too. This category includes presentation virtualization, application virtualization and hosted virtualized desktops.”
Conclusion: “… by the end of the decade, the physical model will no longer dominate. Virtualization will be so ubiquitous in businesses of all sizes that IT managers will have to justify why they aren’t virtualizing, rather than why they are.”
There is substantial commonality between Mike Neil’s and Steve Herrod’s (CTO, VMWare) predictions for 2009. Both see economic factors, management tools, green datacenters, cloud computing and the desktop virtualization as primary drivers, although they are prioritizing them differently.